The Internet of Everything Reinvents the Wheel

Cisco in the form of their UK & Ireland CEO Phil Smith at the launch of their “The Internet of Everything: Bringing the future to life” report yesterday said ” With just 1% of the physical world connected at this time, this is just the beginning of an amazing future.”

They reckon that by 2020  50 billion “things” will be connected globally. So that’s 7 for every one of us!

The report itself looks at the UK situation in 5 main areas:

  1. Healthcare: The innovations anticipated are almost endless and range from wearable video cameras for emergency response units through connected asthma inhalers to smart pill boxes.
  1. Retail: Not only will the high street be smarter they think it will be intelligent as well. “For example, as a consumer moves through the high street and into different shops, an integrated Internet of Everything strategy can see them receive different location-specific content. Marketing tools will enable retailers to provide offers through push notifications, while time-related promotions will encourage consumer spend. Done right, cross-promotion based on immediate location will drive visitors from one retailer to visit others locally. All the while, consumer analytics based on demographic information and activity, such as dwell time conversion rates, and retailers also visited, will provide an intelligence service to improve the customer offer.”
  1. Transport: We can look forward to “Stations-as-a-Service” smart cities smart parking an numerous other evolutions as we reinvent the wheel!
  1. Energy: We will be connecting to conserve.
  1. Manufacturing: “Today, just 4% of devices in that space (the manufacturing floor) are connected to a network of any kind; connecting more could help to dramatically reduce wastage and error.” Consumers’ relationships with purchases are being transformed as sensors and monitoring devices are built into not only the production process but also products themselves. “Cradle-to-grave” strategies tracking product lifecycles from the raw materials in the field through to refurbishment and renewal present manufacturers with major opportunities in the face of spiralling costs and dwindling resources.

The future’s bright the future’s connected.

Brits online 2014

IPATouchPoints5  have just published data from their latest survey concerning the UK consumer technology environment.

Click to ...

They discover that nearly half of us own smartphones and a quarter tablets which moves up to nearly 40% availability on a household basis.

On average we now spend 2 ½  hours a week online a week v’s 2 hours in 2012. In terms of devices, desktops/laptops still take up the majority of this time (54%) followed by smartphones (32%) and tablets (11%).

The activities we undertake online are led by emailing (80% of all adults do this weekly), browsing and looking for services and products (70%) with social networking on the increase (54%).

97% of us still watch television on a television set each week with 13% watching on our desktop/laptop, 8% on a connected TV (presumably both  smart and via set top boxes and other streaming devices), 5% on a tablet and 4% on a smartphone.

On the reading front 54% of us still read print versions of newspapers and magazines with 8% reading on our desktop/laptop, 6% on a smartphone and  4% on our tablets.

As regards to listening to the radio 75%  listen to the radio on a radio or TV set each week with 9% listening on desktops/laptops 9% listen on a smartphone and 4% listen on a tablet.

On the shopping front 90% of us still visit and shop in the high street every week with 5% via a PC and 2% each using smartphones and tablets.

“The survey, conducted by Ipsos MediaCT, questioned 5,100 adults aged 15+ through a substantial self-completion questionnaire and an e.diary that collected data every half hour for a week on how they were spending their time, their opinions, and the role of media in their lives.”

Tablet Shipments Update and THE “Style Guide”

Both Strategy Analytics and Canalys released this week their 4th Quarter estimates which are not far apart and only influence our average table marginally.

Canalys combine their shipment figures with PC’s so we’ve done some figuring to come up with our total. figures.

By vendor they show Apple leading at 26.0 million with 34.1 % of the market followed by Samsung at 14.5 million (19.1% market share).

The Samsung numbers are remarkably close to Strategy Analytics’s estimates.

It clearly is a mature market if so far 75% have 76 million as their leading number!

In other t’internet news BuzzFeed have published their style guide for us all to use. Impressive but is styleguide with or without a hypen and one word or two? hmmmmmm

Amazon sold 10 million Kindle Fire tablets again last year

IDC yesterday released their worldwide tablet shipment estimates for the last quarter of 2013.

At 76.9 million they are pretty close to the pre-Apple estimates of Digitimes which we commented on last week and confirm the growth slowdown

Whilst only a total annual figures for the year of 217.1 million and 144.2 million for 2012 are mentioned our favourite chartists provide some interesting figures to assist us on the vendor front.

  • Apple is definitive at 74.2 million being about 34% in market share terms with an increase this quarter.
  • Samsung we estimate is around 41 million that’s 19% market share and shows a drop this quarter
  • Asus (including Google‘s Nexus) we estimate is around 12 million that’s 5.5% market share
  • Amazon comes in at just under 10 million which is virtually the same as last year and is 5% market share. Their remarkable profile, of circa 1 million sales every quarter apart from the holiday season when it jumps to 6 million, continues.

We’ll leave you with the iChart

 

We check our devices for updates at least every half hour

KANA software a leading customer service solution provider recently acquired by Verint have done some recent representative polling of UK adults to check the frequency that we  check our devices by age, gender and activity.

Unsurprisingly the younger you are, in general, the more frequent is your response apart from the 55-64 year olds who possibly haven’t got time as they prepare for retirement!

In terms of what we are checking on various devices and their frequency the dreaded email heads the list although Twitter is up there near the top well ahead of facebook.

Most frequently checked devices – all age groups
Min/secs
Email on smartphone  36.00
Twitter for replies 39.00
Phones for texts 48.00
Missed calls 49.25
PC or laptop for email 54.00
Facebook for messages 57.00
Checking voicemail  65.00
Source: Kana
Compilation: I.co.uk

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Scarily we apparently spend 14 days a year complaining or waiting to complain. KANA explain “The average UK adult spends a “fraughtnight” — or nearly two weeks — each year waiting for service, making complaints and using digital channels to direct their ire at companies that provide poor service.

The average UK consumer has used 7.4 channels of electronic communication in the past six months. Amongst 18-to-24 year olds, this figure rises to 8.4 channels. The figure is lowest in the 65+ age bracket, but even this age band uses 6.2 methods of electronic communication.”

Tablet sales below PCs in Q4 2013

Digitimes Research are first out of the blocks just ahead of Apple’s results due to be announced Mons0day January 27 with their tablet forecasts.

At an overall level  of 78.5 million we think they may be on the low side and would mean that they still just lag PC shipments in the quarter which we reported on earlier at an estimated 82.2

Apple in Q4 2012 sold 22.9 million iPads and, in spite of some of the shipment delays they encountered this year, we will be uber surprised if they fell short of this number. Our favourite Apple financial reporter Philip Elmer-DeWitt is, as usual, gathering together a large number if analysts forecasts and reports the overall average to be 25 million.

Digitimes reckon the white box constituent of the total was 33.8% of the total which is virtually all of the Other category. Android they report at 51.2% of the total and Windows 3.9%.

The screen size wars again see the smaller ones dominating with 58.3% being 8” or less.

Many more estimates to come which we shall report back on in due course.

One in four bought a tablet in the UK in 2013

CCS insight, the telecom analysts, last week came up with some rather interesting figures for forecast UK tablet sales over the next few years showing a “slump” this year from 17 million down to 14 million.

What we found equally fascinating is that the UK with less than 1% of the worlds population probably accounted for in the region of 7% of worldwide sales. We recently mentioned that these are likely around the 240 million mark. More definitive figures will be forthcoming later next week after Apple announce their quarterly results on Monday January 27.

That puts us even ahead of the USA on a people per tablet basis. Well done every body!

On a global basis one in 30 is still mightily impressive.

CCS insight also reckon that by 2017 almost everyone will have a tablet and comment “The forecast follows two years of explosive growth, fuelled by the easy availability of tablets ranging from premium products to devices costing less than £50. More than 43% of the UK’s population now owns a tablet, up from just 6% two years ago, and the number will almost double by 2017. In the next two years however, the market will take a breather from its massive peak, before returning to steeper growth in 2016. By 2017, CCS Insight is forecasting total tablet sales to reach 20 million in the UK.said Marina Koytcheva, director of forecasting at CCS Insight.”  

Small remains beautiful with they estimate the under 9”’s growing from 34% in 2012 to 63% last year and reaching 65% by 2017.

Useful UK analysis although we have doubts about the predicted slump with, we think, the white box revolution likely to continue.

Many UK Kids are tablet taught and smartphone savvy by the age of 3!

 uSwitch have just released some rather interesting research following an online survey about UK children’s tablet and smartphone usage.

There are inevitably quite a few extrapolations involved, as they explain (and which we have repeated below) but even so, and also allowing for some possible online bias, the figures are still pretty staggering.

Basically our UK kids, that’s the under 16 year olds, start using tablets and smartphones from an exceptionally young age:

  • 11% of 2 year olds or younger
  • 18% of 2-3 year olds
  • So that’s 29%  of  3 year olds or younger (which is circa 3.8 million)

Parents in terms of when kids got their own tablet said 26.7% got them when they were under 8 years old that’s circa 3.5 million.

On the usage front;

  • 16.3% of parents reckoned their kids were addicted to their gadgets
  • 26.3% of them said their kids were “very reliant on their gadgets and would feel lost without them”
  • So that’s 43% just under half who are at least very reliant on their gadgets
  • 71.1% of parents said they limited the number of hours their children used technology

Fascinating stuff:

uSwitch research info:

Research carried out online amongst 1,740 UK adults in December 2013.

  1. According to ONS 2012 Family Size data there were 7.7 million families with dependent children in the UK in 2012, and families had an average of 1.7 children each. 7.7 million x 1.7 = 13,090,000. uSwitch asked parents with kids under 16 when they first got their own tablet. 26.7% said under 8 years old. *26.7% of 13,090,000 kids is 3,495,030
  2. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘At what age did your child(ren) first learn use a tablet or smartphone?’ – 10.7% were under 2 years, 17.8% were 2-3 years. Therefore, 29% were 3 years old or younger. 29% of 13,090,000 kids is 3,796,099.
  3. 35% of our respondents have kids under 16 – 35% of 44.9 million UK adults (according to ONS figures) is 15,714,999. 68% of 15.7m is 10.6m. 10.6m x 225.20 = £2,406,532,014. Of those who have children under 16, when asked “How much have you already spent this year/ plan to spend at Christmas on gadgets for your children in total?” the average amount parents plan to spend was £242.85. Based on 35% of respondents having kids under 16 – 35% of 44.9 million UK adults is 15,714,999. 84% of 15.7m is 13.2m. 13.2m x 242.85 = £3,205,765,467. And £2,406,532,014 + £3,205,765,467 = £5,612,297,481
  4. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘Thinking about your children’s relationship with gadgets, which of the following statements do you most agree with? 16.3% said ‘they’re addicted to their gadgets’, 26.3% said ‘they’re very reliant on their gadgets and would feel lost without them’
  5. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘Have your children ever run up a bill from using paid-for tablet or smartphone apps?’ – 87.7% said no, 12.3% said yes
  6. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘Thinking about how much you spend on gadgets for your children, which of the following statements do you most agree with?’ 11.2% said ‘I spend too much money on gadgets for my children, and will spend just as much next year’, 14.2% said ‘I spend too much money on gadgets for my children, but will try and cut back next year’,
  7. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘which of the following gadgets do your children own or will you be buying them for Christmas?’ 90.9% said games console
  8. Those with kids under 16 were asked ‘ Do you limit how many hours your child(ren) spend using technology? 71.1% said yes, 28.9% said no.

Smartphones grow while PCs and Tablets Flatline

Deloitte have just produced their 2014 predictions for the TMT Sector – Technology, Media and Telecommunications. You can download the full 64 page report (pdf) or peruse it all at your leisure on their site.

In the Technology sector they highlight revenues and predict a global figure of $750 billion for TVs, PCs, Smartphones, Video Game Consoles and Tablets this year.

Click to enlarge

They see a stratification of the tablet market basically on size and reckon that in installed base terms < 8.5” devices will exceed > 8.5” ones during this quarter.

We noticed from the graph that in reality the ONLY revenue growth area of significance is smartphones as demonstrated in our cut down and edited version of their graph (apologies if they object). We’ve grouped the similarly coloured PCs and Tablets which show virtually a flatish line scenario around the $200-250 billion level from around 2006. Smartphones grow from zero in 2000 to exploding to become the largest constituent by 2013. Wearables incidentally they predict to generate $3 billion in rewvenues this year.

Interesting!

We’ll leave you with their Overview filmed at CES.

 

Tablets likely overtake PC Shipments as they show further decline

Both IDC  and Gartner released their Q4 PC shipment estimates towards the end of last week and they were pretty similar:

  • Gartner 82.6 million
  • IDC 82.2 million

Positions 1-5 by vendor were identical:

  1. Lenovo
  2. HP
  3. Dell
  4. Acer
  5. Asus

An interesting comment from Gartner indicating that they think the decline may have now bottomed out. We’re not sure about that.An ongoing small decline is our current guess

Gartner say:

“Although PC shipments continued to decline in the worldwide market in the fourth quarter, we increasingly believe markets, such as the U.S., have bottomed out as the adjustment to the installed base slows,” said Mikako Kitagawa, principal analyst at Gartner. “Strong growth in tablets continued to negatively impact PC growth in emerging markets. In emerging markets, the first connected device for consumers is most likely a smartphone, and their first computing device is a tablet. As a result, the adoption of PCs in emerging markets will be slower as consumers skip PCs for tablets.”

On the tablet front, as we await Q4 figures, we still think that including white box shipments they will exceed PC’s for the first time this quarter whilst on an annual basis they will likely overtake them towards the end of the calendar year. We shall see!

Our graph uses IDC figures available publicly with revisions where published..