Weak August dot-UK registrations show over 10% decline

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Nominet  have  published their dot-uk August registration figures.

August 2012 dot-uk registrations (#’s)
All dot-uk dot-co dot-org dot-ltd dot-plc dot-net dot-sch dot-me
New 147,633 138,991 7,162 84 0 5 23 1,368
On register 10,200,916
Source: Nominet .

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The rate of decline is accelerating this month, with for example, the year-on-year decline (both adjusted and unadjusted) showing a reduction of 13.1%. Dot-co-dot-uk registrations (unadjusted) are down by over 9% on last months figure and all dot-uk registrations (unadjusted) are back to their August 2009 level.

I.co.uk August 2012 dot-uk new registrations
Thousands Aug ’12 Growth Growth Jul ’12 Aug ’11
    # prior mth yr-on-yr   # #
Month
* Adjusted 154.6 -4.3% -13.1% 161.6 178.0
Unadjusted 147.6 -8.4% -13.1% 161.2 169.9
2012 to date
* Adjusted 1,339.2     n/a -4.2%   n/a 1,397.5
Unadjusted 1,366.8     n/a -4.2%   n/a 1,426.9
Sources: Nominet / I.co.uk
*For seasonality – experimental statistics

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The *adjusted registrations show a decrease of -4.3% (-2.1%) on last month and -13.1% (-6.8%) on August 2011. Cumulatively, again on an adjusted basis, they show a decrease of -4.2% (-2.9%) with this decline also accelerating.

Total domains on their register have grown a little to over 10.2 million and on a countback basis come to 64.7 (64.8) months new registrations. Perhaps organisations/individuals are using existing domains rather than registering new ones.

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The comparative unadjusted graph is included again as is the moving annual total  which is down by 22.3k (11.8k) on last month and at 2.01 (2.03) million is at its lowest since July 2010 (August 2010).

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Our forecast of over 2 million for 2012 is likely unachievable and we could be back to barely 1.9 million.

Perhaps in the UK’s drive for economic expansion some, not necessarily publicly funded, incentives for domain registration could be introduced eg perhaps a specialised set of FSA/Bank of England regulatory rules for crowd sourced funding. A process simplification rather than any relaxation ie a positive rather than a light touch might be in order!

 

 

*Seasonality adjustment – As with the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) qualification, our figures are (very) experimental – “Experimental statistics are those which are in the testing phase and are not yet fully developed. The main reason why the statistics are designated as experimental is that the methods and data sources are still being improved”. We would in our case likely go further with our caveats!

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